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Strategy vault / Trend following

Adaptive Bollinger Bands Trend Tracking Strategy

This strategy uses adaptive Bollinger Bands indicator to identify the trend direction and market orders to track the trend with stop loss for efficient trend trading.

Author
ChaoZhang
Complexity
Intermediate · 141 lines
Parameters
8
Backtest bar
1h · intraday
Tested on
BTC/USDT · futures

IMG

Overview

This strategy uses adaptive Bollinger Bands indicator to identify the trend direction and market orders to track the trend with stop loss for efficient trend trading.

Strategy Logic

  1. Calculate the middle, upper and lower bands of Bollinger based on a certain period
  2. Go long when the price breaks through the upper band and go short when breaks the lower band to track the trend
  3. Use market orders for fast entry
  4. Set stop loss and take profit for position management

Advantages

  1. Adaptive Bollinger Bands are sensitive to market volatility for fast judgement of trend reversal
  2. Market orders ensure fast entry with reduced slippage risk
  3. Automatic stop loss and take profit strictly control the risk and lock in profit

Risks

  1. Bollinger Bands has some lagging nature, cannot fully avoid false breakouts
  2. Market orders cannot control the execution price precisely
  3. Proper setting of stop loss and take profit levels is needed

Optimization Directions

  1. Adjust Bollinger parameters for better sensitivity in judging trends
  2. Add indicators like volume or MACD to filter false breakouts
  3. Optimize stop loss and take profit levels

Summary

This strategy makes full use of Bollinger Bands' advantage in judging trend directions and combines fast-exit market orders for trend tracking from both sides, gaining excess returns under controlled risk. Further improvements like optimizing Bollinger parameters, adding filtering indicators and adjusting stop loss/take profit logic can lead to better strategy performance. With clear logic and easy implementation, it is an efficient and reliable trend tracking trading strategy.

Parameters

NameDefaultWhat it controls
v_input_1falseLive
v_input_21600976975Start Timestamp
v_input_360Start Delay
v_input_4trueLeverage
v_input_5trueTake Profit %
v_input_6-1DCA when < %
v_input_70Entry Level: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10
v_input_860Pivot Length

Source Pine Script

/*backtest
start: 2024-01-04 00:00:00
end: 2024-02-03 00:00:00
period: 1h
basePeriod: 15m
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

// This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at https://mozilla.org/MPL/2.0/
// © CryptoRox

//@version=4
//Paste the line below in your alerts to run the built-in commands.
//{{strategy.order.alert_message}}
strategy("Automated - Fibs with Market orders", "Strategy", true)

//Settings 
testing = input(false, "Live")
//Use epochconverter or something similar to get the current timestamp.
starttime = input(1600976975, "Start Timestamp") * 1000
//Wait XX seconds from that timestamp before the strategy starts looking for an entry.
seconds = input(60, "Start Delay") * 1000
testPeriod = true


leverage = input(1, "Leverage")
tp = input(1.0, "Take Profit %") / leverage
dca = input(-1.0, "DCA when < %") / leverage *-1
fibEntry = input("1", "Entry Level", options=["1", "2", "3", "4", "5", "6", "7", "8", "9", "10"])

//Strategy Calls
equity = strategy.equity
avg = strategy.position_avg_price
symbol = syminfo.tickerid
openTrades = strategy.opentrades
closedTrades = strategy.closedtrades
size = strategy.position_size

//Fibs
lentt = input(60, "Pivot Length")
h = highest(lentt)
h1 = dev(h, lentt) ? na : h
hpivot = fixnan(h1)
l = lowest(lentt)
l1 = dev(l, lentt) ? na : l
lpivot = fixnan(l1)
z = 400
p_offset= 2
transp = 60
a=(lowest(z)+highest(z))/2
b=lowest(z)
c=highest(z)

fib0 = (((hpivot - lpivot)) + lpivot)
fib1 = (((hpivot - lpivot)*.21) + lpivot)
fib2 = (((hpivot - lpivot)*.3) + lpivot)
fib3 = (((hpivot - lpivot)*.5) + lpivot)
fib4 = (((hpivot - lpivot)*.62) + lpivot)
fib5 = (((hpivot - lpivot)*.7) + lpivot)
fib6 = (((hpivot - lpivot)* 1.00) + lpivot)
fib7 = (((hpivot - lpivot)* 1.27) + lpivot)
fib8 = (((hpivot - lpivot)* 2) + lpivot)
fib9 = (((hpivot - lpivot)* -.27) + lpivot)
fib10 = (((hpivot - lpivot)* -1) + lpivot)

notna = nz(fib10[60])
entry = 0.0
if fibEntry == "1"
    entry := fib10
if fibEntry == "2"
    entry := fib9
if fibEntry == "3"
    entry := fib0
if fibEntry == "4"
    entry := fib1
if fibEntry == "5"
    entry := fib2
if fibEntry == "6"
    entry := fib3
if fibEntry == "7"
    entry := fib4
if fibEntry == "8"
    entry := fib5
if fibEntry == "9"
    entry := fib6
if fibEntry == "10"
    entry := fib7
profit = avg+avg*(tp/100)
pause = 0
pause := nz(pause[1])
paused = time < pause

fill = 0.0
fill := nz(fill[1])
count = 0.0
count := nz(fill[1])

filled = count > 0 ? entry > fill-fill/100*dca : 0
signal = testPeriod and notna and not paused and not filled ? 1 : 0

neworder = crossover(signal, signal[1])
moveorder = entry != entry[1] and signal and not neworder ? true : false
cancelorder = crossunder(signal, signal[1]) and not paused
filledorder = crossunder(low[1], entry[1]) and signal[1]

last_profit = 0.0
last_profit := nz(last_profit[1])

// if neworder and signal
//     strategy.order("New", 1, 0.0001, alert_message='New Order|e=binancefuturestestnet s=btcusdt b=long q=0.0011 fp=' + tostring(entry)) 
// if moveorder
//     strategy.order("Move", 1, 0.0001, alert_message='Move Order|e=binancefuturestestnet s=btcusdt b=long c=order|e=binancefuturestestnet s=btcusdt b=long q=0.0011 fp=' + tostring(entry))
if filledorder and size < 1
    fill := entry
    count := count+1 
    pause := time + 60000
    p = close+close*(tp/100)
    strategy.entry("Buy", 1, 1,  alert_message='Long|e=binancefuturestestnet s=btcusdt b=long q=0.0011 t=market')
if filledorder and size >= 1
    fill := entry
    count := count+1 
    pause := time + 60000
    strategy.entry("Buy", 1, 1,  alert_message='Long|e=binancefuturestestnet s=btcusdt b=long q=0.0011 t=market')

// if cancelorder and not filledorder
//     pause := time + 60000
//     strategy.order("Cancel", 1, 0.0001,  alert_message='Cancel Order|e=binancefuturestestnet s=btcusdt b=long c=order')

if filledorder
    last_profit := profit

closeit = crossover(high, profit) and size >= 1
if closeit
    strategy.entry("Close ALL", 0, 0, alert_message='Close Long|e=binancefuturestestnet s=btcusdt b=long c=position t=market')
    count := 0
    fill := 0.0
    last_profit := 0.0
    
//Plots
// bottom = signal ? color.green : filled ? color.red : color.white
// plot(entry, "Entry", bottom)

Published by ChaoZhang on the FMZ strategy square · last modified 2024-02-04. Collected in the Quant Trading Vault. Unvalidated research: re-test with your own data and costs before trusting it.

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