Momentum Tracking Strategy 437030

Pine ScriptMomentum Breakout Trend following EMA SMA ATR

Author: ChaoZhang
Complexity: Intermediate · 165 lines
Parameters: 19
Backtest bar: 1h · intraday
Tested on: BTC/USDT · futures

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Overview

The Momentum Tracking strategy uses the Hull Moving Average as the main indicator to determine the price trend direction. At the same time, the strategy incorporates other indicators such as baseline, confirmation indicator, etc. to verify the price trend and filter false signals. After entering the market, the strategy uses the Average True Range to calculate the dynamic stop loss to track trends for profit.

Strategy Principle

The core of the Momentum Tracking strategy is the Hull Moving Average. The Hull Moving Average is more sensitive to price changes and can effectively determine the trend direction. When the price breaks through the Hull line upwards, an upward trend is confirmed, going long; when the price breaks through the Hull line downwards, a downward trend is confirmed, going short.

In addition, the strategy also introduces a baseline indicator to judge short and long term trends; a confirmation indicator is used to filter false breakouts. A trading signal will only be triggered when both the baseline and the confirmation indicator have verified the trend direction.

After entering the market, the strategy uses the average true range and Hull EMA to set the stop loss position. As the trend continues, the stop loss line will continue to move up/down to lock in trend profits.

Advantage Analysis

The Momentum Tracking strategy combines the advantages of trend judgment and risk control, which can obtain good returns in trending markets. Compared with fixed stop loss strategies, it can track trend runs by moving stop losses and avoid being stopped out by normal market fluctuations.

The combination of multiple indicators also makes the strategy more sensitive to market changes, while effectively filtering out false signals. In addition, the strategy also provides multiple adjustable parameters for users to optimize based on their own market judgment.

Risk Analysis

The strategy relies mainly on trend indicators and is prone to generating wrong signals and stop losses during consolidations. In addition, the combination of multiple indicators can also lead to conflicts between indicators. Improper parameter settings can also lead to poor strategy performance.

Consider adding an additional judgment module in the strategy to pause trading when indicators show divergence; or adopt a voting mechanism to synthesize the judgement results of multiple indicators. For parameter settings, the optimal parameters can be found through backtest optimization methods.

Optimization Directions

The Momentum Tracking strategy can be optimized in the following directions:

Increase judgment modules, such as volatility module, pause trading when volatility is high;
Increase machine learning module, use machine learning algorithms to determine indicator weights;
Optimize indicator parameters to find the best parameter combination;
Optimize the moving stop loss algorithm to better track the trend;
Add risk management modules such as trailing stop loss, dynamic position adjustment, etc.

Summary

In summary, the Momentum Tracking strategy is an excellent trend tracking strategy. It successfully combines trend judgment and dynamic stop loss, which can effectively track and profit from trends. With further optimization, it is expected to achieve better strategy performance. The strategy provides a good reference for the construction of quantitative trading strategies.

Parameters

Name	Default	What it controls
v_input_1	0	Mode: LongShort \| OnlyLong \| OnlyShort \| Indicator Mode
v_input_2	true	% Risk
v_input_3	2	ATR Multiplier
v_input_4	true	====== Activate Baseline - Switch L/S ======
v_input_5	0	Baseline Type: McGinley \| HMA \| EHMA \| THMA \| SMA \| EMA \| DEMA \| TEMA \| WMA \| VWMA \| SMMA \| RMA \| LSMA \| ALMA \| Kijun \| WWSA
v_input_6_close	0	BL source: close \| high \| low \| open \| hl2 \| hlc3 \| hlcc4 \| ohlc4
v_input_7	50	BL length
v_input_8	false	===== Activate Confirmation indicator =====
v_input_9	0	C1 Entry indicator: SMA \| HMA \| EHMA \| THMA \| McGinley \| EMA \| DEMA \| TEMA \| WMA \| VWMA \| SMMA \| RMA \| LSMA \| ALMA \| Kijun \| WWSA
v_input_10_close	0	Source: close \| high \| low \| open \| hl2 \| hlc3 \| hlcc4 \| ohlc4
v_input_11	5	Length
v_input_12	true	====== ENTRY indicator =======
v_input_13	0	EI Entry indicator: HMA \| McGinley \| EHMA \| THMA \| SMA \| EMA \| DEMA \| TEMA \| WMA \| VWMA \| SMMA \| RMA \| LSMA \| ALMA \| Kijun \| WWSA
v_input_14_close	0	Source: close \| high \| low \| open \| hl2 \| hlc3 \| hlcc4 \| ohlc4
v_input_15	46	Length
v_input_16	true	===== Activate Trailing Stop =====
v_input_17	0	TS Traling Stop Type: EMA \| HMA \| EHMA \| THMA \| SMA \| McGinley \| DEMA \| TEMA \| WMA \| VWMA \| SMMA \| RMA \| LSMA \| ALMA \| Kijun \| WWSA
v_input_18	5	Smoothing Trail Long EMA
v_input_19	2	Smoothing Trail Short EMA

Source Pine Script

/*backtest
start: 2023-11-28 00:00:00
end: 2023-12-28 00:00:00
period: 1h
basePeriod: 15m
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

// © Milleman
//@version=4
strategy("MilleMachine", overlay=true, default_qty_type = strategy.percent_of_equity, default_qty_value = 100, initial_capital=10000, commission_type=strategy.commission.percent, commission_value=0.06)


// Additional settings
Mode = input(title="Mode", defval="LongShort", options=["LongShort", "OnlyLong", "OnlyShort","Indicator Mode"])
UseTP = false                               //input(false, title="Use Take Profit?")
QuickSwitch = true                          //input(true, title="Quickswitch")
UseTC = true                                //input(true, title="Use Trendchange?")

// Risk management settings
//Spacer2 = input(false, title="======= Risk management settings =======")
Risk = input(1.0, title="% Risk",minval=0)/100
RRR = 2                                     //input(2,title="Risk Reward Ratio",step=0.1,minval=0,maxval=20)
SL_Mode = false                             // input(true, title="ON = Fixed SL / OFF = Dynamic SL (ATR)")
SL_Fix = 3                                  //input(3,title="StopLoss %",step=0.25, minval=0)/100
ATR = atr(14)                               //input(14,title="Periode ATR"))
Mul = input(2,title="ATR Multiplier",step=0.1)
xATR = ATR * Mul
SL = SL_Mode ? SL_Fix : (1 - close/(close+xATR))

// INDICATORS  //////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
Ind(type, src, len) =>
    float result = 0
    if type=="McGinley"
        result := na(result[1]) ? ema(src, len) : result[1] + (src - result[1]) / (len * pow(src/result[1], 4))
    if type=="HMA"
        result := wma(2*wma(src, len/2)-wma(src, len), round(sqrt(len)))
    if type=="EHMA"
        result := ema(2*ema(src, len/2)-ema(src, len), round(sqrt(len)))
    if type=="THMA"
        lend = len/2
        result := wma(wma(src, lend/3)*3-wma(src, lend/2)-wma(src,lend), lend)
    if type=="SMA" // Simple
        result := sma(src, len)
    if type=="EMA" // Exponential
        result := ema(src, len)
    if type=="DEMA" // Double Exponential
        e = ema(src, len)
        result := 2 * e - ema(e, len)
    if type=="TEMA" // Triple Exponential
        e = ema(src, len)
        result := 3 * (e - ema(e, len)) + ema(ema(e, len), len)
    if type=="WMA" // Weighted
        result := wma(src, len)
    if type=="VWMA" // Volume Weighted
        result := vwma(src, len) 
    if type=="SMMA" // Smoothed
        w = wma(src, len)
        result := (w[1] * (len - 1) + src) / len
    if type == "RMA"
        result := rma(src, len)
    if type=="LSMA" // Least Squares
        result := linreg(src, len, 0)
    if type=="ALMA" // Arnaud Legoux
        result := alma(src, len, 0.85, 6)
    if type=="Kijun" //Kijun-sen
        kijun = avg(lowest(len), highest(len))
        result :=kijun
    if type=="WWSA" // Welles Wilder Smoothed Moving Average
        result := nz(result[1]) + (close -nz(result[1]))/len
    result

// Baseline : Switch from Long to Short and vice versa
BL_Act = input(true, title="====== Activate Baseline - Switch L/S ======")
BL_type = input(title="Baseline Type", defval="McGinley", options=["McGinley","HMA","EHMA","THMA","SMA","EMA","DEMA","TEMA","WMA","VWMA","SMMA","RMA","LSMA","ALMA","Kijun","WWSA"])
BL_src = input(close, title="BL source")
BL_len = input(50, title="BL length", minval=1)
BL = Ind(BL_type,BL_src, BL_len)

// Confirmation indicator
C1_Act = input(false, title="===== Activate Confirmation indicator =====")
C1_type = input(title="C1 Entry indicator", defval="SMA", options=["McGinley","HMA","EHMA","THMA","SMA","EMA","DEMA","TEMA","WMA","VWMA","SMMA","RMA","LSMA","ALMA","Kijun","WWSA"])
C1_src = input(close, title="Source")
C1_len = input(5,title="Length", minval=1)
C1 = Ind(C1_type,C1_src,C1_len)

// Entry indicator : Hull Moving Average
Spacer5 = input(true, title="====== ENTRY indicator =======")
EI_type = input(title="EI Entry indicator", defval="HMA", options=["McGinley","HMA","EHMA","THMA","SMA","EMA","DEMA","TEMA","WMA","VWMA","SMMA","RMA","LSMA","ALMA","Kijun","WWSA"])
EI_src = input(close, title="Source")
EI_Len = input(46,title="Length", minval=1)
EI = Ind(EI_type,EI_src,EI_Len)

// Trail stop settings
TrailActivation = input(true, title="===== Activate Trailing Stop =====")
TS_type = input(title="TS Traling Stop Type", defval="EMA", options=["McGinley","HMA","EHMA","THMA","SMA","EMA","DEMA","TEMA","WMA","VWMA","SMMA","RMA","LSMA","ALMA","Kijun","WWSA"])
TrailSLScaling = 1 //input(100, title="SL Scaling", minval=0, step=5)/100
TrailingSourceLong = Ind(TS_type,low,input(5,"Smoothing Trail Long EMA", minval=1))
TrailingSourceShort = Ind(TS_type,high,input(2,"Smoothing Trail Short EMA", minval=1))

//VARIABLES MANAGEMENT
TriggerPrice = 0.0, TriggerPrice := TriggerPrice[1]
TriggerSL = 0.0, TriggerSL := TriggerSL[1]
SLPrice = 0.0, SLPrice := SLPrice[1], TPPrice = 0.0, TPPrice := TPPrice[1]
isLong = false, isLong := isLong[1], isShort = false, isShort := isShort[1]

//LOGIC
GoLong = crossover(EI,EI[1]) and (strategy.position_size == 0.0 and QuickSwitch) and (not BL_Act or BL/BL[1] > 1) and (not C1_Act or C1>C1[1]) and (Mode == "LongShort" or Mode == "OnlyLong")
GoShort = crossunder(EI,EI[1]) and (strategy.position_size == 0.0 and QuickSwitch) and (not BL_Act or BL/BL[1] < 1) and (not C1_Act or C1<C1[1]) and (Mode == "LongShort" or Mode == "OnlyShort")
ExitLong = isLong and crossunder(EI,EI[1]) and UseTC
ExitShort = isShort and crossover(EI,EI[1]) and UseTC

//FRAMEWORK
//Reset Long-Short memory
if isLong and strategy.position_size == 0.0
    isLong := false
if isShort and strategy.position_size == 0.0
    isShort := false
//Long
if GoLong
    isLong := true, TriggerPrice := close, TriggerSL := SL
    TPPrice := UseTP? TriggerPrice * (1 + (TriggerSL * RRR)) : na
    SLPrice := TriggerPrice * (1-TriggerSL)
    Entry_Contracts = strategy.equity * Risk / ((TriggerPrice-SLPrice)/TriggerPrice) / TriggerPrice
    strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long, comment=tostring(round((TriggerSL/TriggerPrice)*1000)), qty=Entry_Contracts)
    strategy.exit("TPSL","Long", limit=TPPrice, stop=SLPrice)
if isLong
    NewValSL = TrailingSourceLong * (1 - (SL*TrailSLScaling))
    if TrailActivation and NewValSL > SLPrice
        SLPrice := NewValSL
    strategy.exit("TPSL","Long", limit=TPPrice, stop=SLPrice)
if ExitLong
    strategy.close_all(comment="TrendChange")
    isLong := false

//Short
if GoShort
    isShort := true, TriggerPrice := close, TriggerSL := SL
    TPPrice := UseTP? TriggerPrice * (1 - (TriggerSL * RRR)) : na
    SLPrice := TriggerPrice * (1 + TriggerSL)
    Entry_Contracts = strategy.equity * Risk / ((SLPrice-TriggerPrice)/TriggerPrice) / TriggerPrice
    strategy.entry("Short", strategy.short, comment=tostring(round((TriggerSL/TriggerPrice)*1000)), qty=Entry_Contracts)
    strategy.exit("TPSL","Short", limit=TPPrice, stop=SLPrice)
if isShort
    NewValSL = TrailingSourceShort * (1 + (SL*TrailSLScaling))
    if TrailActivation and NewValSL < SLPrice
        SLPrice := NewValSL
    strategy.exit("TPSL","Short", limit=TPPrice, stop=SLPrice)
if ExitShort
    strategy.close_all(comment="TrendChange")
    isShort := false

//VISUALISATION
plot(BL_Act?BL:na, color=color.blue,title="Baseline")
plot(C1_Act?C1:na, color=color.yellow,title="confirmation Indicator")
EIColor = EI>EI[1] ? color.green : color.red
Fill_EI = plot(EI, color=EIColor, linewidth=1, transp=40, title="Entry Indicator EI")
Fill_EID = plot(EI[1], color=EIColor, linewidth=1, transp=40, title="Entry Indicator EID")
fill(Fill_EI,Fill_EID, title="EI_Fill", color=EIColor,transp=50)

plot(strategy.position_size != 0.0 and (isLong or isShort) ? TriggerPrice : na, title="TriggerPrice", color=color.yellow, style=plot.style_linebr)
plot(strategy.position_size != 0.0 and (isLong or isShort) ? TPPrice : na, title="TakeProfit", color=color.green, style=plot.style_linebr)
plot(strategy.position_size != 0.0 and (isLong or isShort) ? SLPrice : na, title="StopLoss", color=color.red, style=plot.style_linebr)
bgcolor(isLong[1] and cross(low,SLPrice) and low[1] > SLPrice and TriggerPrice>SLPrice ? color.yellow : na, transp=75, title="SL Long")
bgcolor(isShort[1] and cross(high,SLPrice) and high[1] < SLPrice and TriggerPrice<SLPrice ? color.yellow : na, transp=75, title="SL Short")

Published by ChaoZhang on the FMZ strategy square · last modified 2023-12-29. Collected in the Quant Trading Vault. Unvalidated research: re-test with your own data and costs before trusting it.

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