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Strategy vault / Trend following

ORIGINAL PRIMITIVE TREND TRACKING STRATEGY BASED ON MOVING AVERAGE

This strategy is based on the body of the candle, combined with the EMA indicator to judge the market trend direction, to achieve the ORIGINAL PRIMITIVE TREND TRACKING effect. Go long when there is a large yang line…

Author
ChaoZhang
Complexity
Intermediate · 41 lines
Parameters
10
Backtest bar
1h · intraday
Tested on
BTC/USDT · futures

IMG

Overview

This strategy is based on the body of the candle, combined with the EMA indicator to judge the market trend direction, to achieve the ORIGINAL PRIMITIVE TREND TRACKING effect. Go long when there is a large yang line, go short when there is a large yin line, so as to track the market trend.

Strategy Principle

  1. Calculate the average body length sbody of the last 30 K-line candles
  2. When the latest K-line is a yang line and the body length is greater than sbody/2, go long
  3. When already long, if the latest K-line is a yin line, the body length is greater than sbody/2, and the current position is profitable, then close the long position
  4. When the latest K-line is a yin line and the body length is greater than sbody/2, go short
  5. When already short, if the latest K-line is a yang line, the body length is greater than sbody/2, and the current position is profitable, then close the short position

Advantage Analysis

This strategy has the following advantages:

  1. Original and simple, easy to understand and implement
  2. Based on candle structure judgment, has some effect on catching breakouts
  3. Track trends, can capture larger moves
  4. Fast stop loss when profitable, helps lock in profits

Risk Analysis

This strategy also has some risks:

  1. Unable to effectively filter false breakouts, may cause unnecessary losses
  2. Judging only by candles is susceptible to slippage and gap influence
  3. Did not consider the problem of excessive trading frequency

Risks can be reduced by:

  1. Combine with other indicators to filter signals
  2. Set stop loss strategy
  3. Optimize parameters to control trade frequency

Optimization Directions

This strategy can be optimized in the following aspects:

  1. Add breakout indicators to filter false breakouts
  2. Add stop loss strategy to reduce single loss
  3. Incorporate trend indicators to verify trend direction
  4. Parameter optimization to find the best parameter combination

Summary

This strategy belongs to the original simple trend tracking strategy. By judging candle structures, it can effectively track trend directions. At the same time, setting a fast stop loss mechanism can lock in profits. This strategy can supplement the trend tracking portfolio, but still needs to be optimized to reduce risks. It is worth further researching the effect of combining with other indicators in the future.

Parameters

NameDefaultWhat it controls
v_input_1trueLong
v_input_2trueShort
v_input_3trueUse body
v_input_4trueUse UUP
v_input_51900From Year
v_input_62100To Year
v_input_7trueFrom Month
v_input_8trueTo Month
v_input_9trueFrom day
v_input_1031To day

Source Pine Script

/*backtest
start: 2023-10-23 00:00:00
end: 2023-11-22 00:00:00
period: 1h
basePeriod: 15m
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

//@version=3
strategy(title = "Noro's Primitive Strategy v1.0", shorttitle = "Primitive str 1.0", overlay=true, default_qty_type = strategy.percent_of_equity, default_qty_value = 100.0, pyramiding = 10)

//Settings
needlong = input(true, defval = true, title = "Long")
needshort = input(true, defval = true, title = "Short")
usebody = input(true, defval = true, title = "Use body")
useus = input(true, defval = true, title = "Use UUP")
fromyear = input(1900, defval = 1900, minval = 1900, maxval = 2100, title = "From Year")
toyear = input(2100, defval = 2100, minval = 1900, maxval = 2100, title = "To Year")
frommonth = input(01, defval = 01, minval = 01, maxval = 12, title = "From Month")
tomonth = input(01, defval = 01, minval = 01, maxval = 12, title = "To Month")
fromday = input(01, defval = 01, minval = 01, maxval = 31, title = "From day")
today = input(31, defval = 31, minval = 01, maxval = 31, title = "To day")

//Logic
body = abs(close - open)
sbody = ema(body, 30) / 2
bar = close > open ? 1 : close < open ? -1 : 0

//Signals
up = bar == -1 and (body > sbody or usebody == false) and (close < strategy.position_avg_price or strategy.position_size <= 0 or useus == false)
dn = bar == 1 and (body > sbody or usebody == false) and (close > strategy.position_avg_price or strategy.position_size >= 0 or useus == false)

//Trading
if up
    strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long, needlong == false ? 0 : na, when=(time > timestamp(fromyear, frommonth, fromday, 00, 00) and time < timestamp(toyear, tomonth, today, 00, 00)))

if dn
    strategy.entry("Short", strategy.short, needshort == false ? 0 : na, when=(time > timestamp(fromyear, frommonth, fromday, 00, 00) and time < timestamp(toyear, tomonth, today, 00, 00)))
    
if time > timestamp(toyear, tomonth, today, 00, 00)
    strategy.close_all()

Published by ChaoZhang on the FMZ strategy square · last modified 2023-11-23. Collected in the Quant Trading Vault. Unvalidated research: re-test with your own data and costs before trusting it.

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