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Strategy vault / Breakout

Quant Trading Strategy Based on HullMA Percentage Bands

This strategy implements quantitative trading through calculating Hull moving average and its percentage bands to make entry and stop-loss decisions. Its advantages include adjustable parameters, simple…

Author
ChaoZhang
Complexity
Starter · 68 lines
Parameters
6
Backtest bar
5d · position
Tested on
BTC/USDT · futures

IMG

Overview

This strategy implements quantitative trading through calculating Hull moving average and its percentage bands to make entry and stop-loss decisions. Its advantages include adjustable parameters, simple implementation, and strict stop loss. But risks like chasing peaks and killing dips, frequent trading also exist. Further optimizations on stop loss strategy and adding short-term operations could lead to better performance.

Strategy Principle

  1. Calculate Hull moving average hullma with length length.

  2. Plot percentage bands xL1, xL3, xL2, xL4 based on hullma.

  3. Long when close crosses below xL2 or xL4, close long when close crosses above xL1, xL2 or xL3.

Advantage Analysis

The advantages include:

  1. HullMA is sensitive to price changes and tracks trends well.

  2. Percentage bands are highly adjustable for different products.

  3. Dual bands strategy filters out wrong signals effectively.

  4. Stop loss strategy controls risks effectively.

Risk Analysis

Some risks:

  1. Chasing peaks and killing dips.

  2. Slippage from frequent trading.

  3. Improper parameter tuning leads to overtrading.

  4. Stop loss position needs iterative optimization.

Optimization Directions

Some optimization directions:

  1. Optimize hullMA length parameter for different products.

  2. Optimize percentage bands to reduce wrong trades.

  3. Add short-term operations to get more profits.

  4. Optimize stop loss strategy to ensure effectiveness.

  5. Test robustness across different products.

Conclusion

This strategy builds a relatively simple breakout trading system using HullMA and percentage bands. With clear pros and cons, and further optimizations on parameters and functionalities, it can become a very practical quant strategy.

Parameters

NameDefaultWhat it controls
v_input_19length
v_input_2_close0Source: close | high | low | open | hl2 | hlc3 | hlcc4 | ohlc4
v_input_33Uband1
v_input_43Lband1
v_input_56Uband2
v_input_66Lband2

Source Pine Script

/*backtest
start: 2023-03-01 00:00:00
end: 2024-02-29 00:00:00
period: 5d
basePeriod: 1d
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

//@version=3
strategy("hullma percentage lines", overlay=true)



length = input(9, minval=1)
src = input(close, title="Source")
hullma = wma(2*wma(src, length/2)-wma(src, length), round(sqrt(length)))
plot(hullma)



Uband1 = input(3, minval=1, step = .5)
Lband1 = input(3, minval=1, step = .5)
Uband2 = input(6, minval=1, step = .5)
Lband2 = input(6, minval=1, step = .5)


v1 = Uband1+100
v2 = 100 - Lband1
v3 = Uband2+100
v4 = 100 - Lband2


xL1 = (hullma / 100) * v1
xL2 = (hullma / 100) * v2 
xL3 = (hullma / 100) * v3
xL4 = (hullma / 100) * v4 


plot(xL1, color=yellow, title="H1")
plot(xL2, color=yellow, title="L1")
plot(xL3, color=yellow, title="H2")
plot(xL4, color=yellow, title="L2")




longCondition1 =  crossover(close, xL4) 
if (longCondition1)  
    strategy.entry("l1", strategy.long)

longCondition2 =  crossover(close, xL2) 
if (longCondition2)  
    strategy.entry("l1", strategy.long)


shortCondition1 = crossover(close, xL1)
if (shortCondition1) 
    strategy.close("l1", strategy.long)
    
shortCondition2 = crossover(close, xL2)
if (shortCondition2) 
    strategy.close("l1", strategy.long)
    
shortCondition3 = crossover(close, xL3)
if (shortCondition3) 
    strategy.close("l1", strategy.long)
    

Published by ChaoZhang on the FMZ strategy square · last modified 2024-03-01. Collected in the Quant Trading Vault. Unvalidated research: re-test with your own data and costs before trusting it.

Build this with AgenKit

A spec is not a trading system. Paste this into your coding agent and AgenKit runs a specialist team — architecture, test-first build, risk gates, review — with paper trading on by default.

in Claude Code, Cursor, Codex & 4 more
/agenkit build a production-grade trading bot with a backtest engine, risk controls and paper trading by default from strategies/Quant-Trading-Strategy-Based-on-HullMA-Percentage-Bands.md
  1. npx agenkit install engineering-kit in your project
  2. Paste the command into your agent and approve each phase
  3. Get tests, backtest, risk controls and a paper-trading switch

Understand it first

Before you run this, read the lesson behind the idea and how to backtest it honestly. Specs like this one are the survivors of an unknown number of trials; deflate their results accordingly.

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