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Triple Overlapping Stochastic Momentum Strategy

The Triple Overlapping Stochastic Momentum strategy is a typical short-term trading strategy. It calculates three Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) indicators with different parameter settings and generates trading…

Author
ChaoZhang
Complexity
Intermediate · 107 lines
Parameters
27
Backtest bar
1h · intraday
Tested on
BTC/USDT · futures

IMG

Overview

The Triple Overlapping Stochastic Momentum strategy is a typical short-term trading strategy. It calculates three Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) indicators with different parameter settings and generates trading signals when all three show overbought or oversold conditions simultaneously. By combining multi-timeframe analysis, this strategy can effectively filter market noise and improve signal quality.

Strategy Logic

The core indicator of this strategy is the Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI). The SMI is calculated as follows:

SMI = 100 * EMA(EMA(Close - Midpoint of High-Low Range, N1), N2) / 0.5 * EMA(EMA(High - Low, N1), N2)

Where N1 and N2 are the parameter lengths. The SMI oscillates between -100 and 100. Values above 0 indicate the close is in the upper half of the daily range, while values below 0 indicate the close is in the lower half.

Similar to the traditional Stochastic Oscillator, overbought (e.g. 40)/oversold (e.g. -40) levels indicate potential reversal signals. Bullish and bearish signals are generated when the SMI crosses above/below its moving average line.

The strategy employs three SMI indicators with different parameter sets, specifically:

  • SMI1: %K Period 10, %K Slowing Period 3
  • SMI2: %K Period 20, %K Slowing Period 3
  • SMI3: %K Period 5, %K Slowing Period 3

Trading signals are generated when all three SMIs concurrently show overbought or oversold conditions. This filters out false signals and improves reliability.

Advantages

  • Multi-timeframe analysis for robust signals
  • SMI enhances usability over traditional Stochastic
  • Triple overlay improves reliability over single indicator
  • Flexible parameters for optimization
  • Well suited for short-term/high frequency trading

Risks

  • Multiple indicators may lag signals
  • High trading frequency increases costs
  • Backtest overfitting
  • Parameters may fail with market regime changes

Risk Mitigations:

  • Optimize parameters to reduce lag
  • Adjust holding period to lower trading costs
  • Perform statistical testing to validate robustness
  • Dynamically adapt parameters

Enhancements

  • Test different SMI parameter combinations
  • Add statistical metrics to evaluate parameter stability
  • Incorporate supporting indicators like volume, Bollinger Bands etc.
  • Dynamic parameter switching based on environment
  • Optimize stop loss strategies

Conclusion

The Triple Overlapping Stochastic Momentum strategy combines robust signal generation across multiple timeframes by overlaying three SMI indicators with unique parameters. Compared to single oscillators, this multi-indicator approach filters more noise and improves consistency. Further refinements can be made going forward through parameter optimization, statistical validation, auxiliary indicators etc. to enhance strategy robustness.

Parameters

NameDefaultWhat it controls
v_input_110%K Length
v_input_23%K Smoothing Length
v_input_33%K Double Smoothing Length
v_input_410Signal Length
v_input_5emaSignal MA Type
v_input_640Overbought Level
v_input_7-40Oversold Level
v_input_820%K Length 2
v_input_93%K Smoothing Length 2
v_input_103%K Double Smoothing Length 2
v_input_1110Signal Length 2
v_input_12emaSignal MA Type 2
v_input_1340Overbought Level 2
v_input_14-40Oversold Level 2
v_input_155%K Length 3
v_input_163%K Smoothing Length 3
v_input_173%K Double Smoothing Length 3
v_input_1810Signal Length 3
v_input_19emaSignal MA Type 3
v_input_2040Overbought Level 3
v_input_21-40Oversold Level 3
v_input_228From Month
v_input_23trueFrom Day
v_input_242018From Year
v_input_2512To Month
v_input_2631To Day
v_input_272018To Year

Source Pine Script

/*backtest
start: 2023-12-26 00:00:00
end: 2024-01-25 00:00:00
period: 1h
basePeriod: 15m
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

//@version=2
strategy("Stochastic Momentum multi strategy", "Stochastic Momentum Index multi strategy", overlay=false)

q = input(10, title="%K Length")
r = input(3, title="%K Smoothing Length")
s = input(3, title="%K Double Smoothing Length")
nsig = input(10, title="Signal Length")
matype = input("ema", title="Signal MA Type")  // possible: ema, sma, wma, trima, hma, dema, tema, zlema
overbought = input(40, title="Overbought Level", type=float)
oversold = input(-40, title="Oversold Level", type=float)

trima(src, length) => sma(sma(src,length),length)
hma(src, length) => wma(2*wma(src, length/2)-wma(src, length), round(sqrt(length)))
dema(src, length) => 2*ema(src,length) - ema(ema(src,length),length)
tema(src, length) => (3*ema(src,length) - 3*ema(ema(src,length),length)) + ema(ema(ema(src,length),length),length)
zlema(src, length) => ema(src,length) + (ema(src,length) - ema(ema(src,length),length))

smi = 100 * ema(ema(close-0.5*(highest(q)+lowest(q)),r),s) / (0.5 * ema(ema(highest(q)-lowest(q),r),s))
sig = matype=="ema" ? ema(smi,nsig) : matype=="sma" ? sma(smi,nsig) : matype=="wma" ? wma(smi,nsig) : matype=="trima" ? trima(smi,nsig) : matype=="hma" ? hma(smi,nsig) : matype=="dema" ? dema(smi,nsig) : matype=="tema" ? tema(smi,nsig) : matype=="zlema" ? zlema(smi,nsig) : ema(smi,nsig)

p_smi = plot(smi, title="SMI", color=aqua)
p_sig = plot(sig, title="Signal", color=red)

// plotchar(crossover(smi, sig), title= "low", location=location.bottom, color=green, char="▲", size= size.tiny)
// plotchar(crossunder(smi, sig), title= "high", location=location.top, color=red, char="▼", size= size.tiny)

/////////////////////////////2
q2 = input(20, title="%K Length 2")
r2 = input(3, title="%K Smoothing Length 2")
s2 = input(3, title="%K Double Smoothing Length 2")
nsig2 = input(10, title="Signal Length 2")
matype2 = input("ema", title="Signal MA Type 2")  // possible: ema, sma, wma, trima, hma, dema, tema, zlema
overbought2 = input(40, title="Overbought Level 2", type=float)
oversold2 = input(-40, title="Oversold Level 2", type=float)

trima2(src2, length2) => sma(sma(src2,length2),length2)
hma2(src2, length2) => wma(2*wma(src2, length2/2)-wma(src2, length2), round(sqrt(length2)))
dema2(src2, length2) => 2*ema(src2,length2) - ema(ema(src2,length2),length2)
tema2(src2, length2) => (3*ema(src2,length2) - 3*ema(ema(src2,length2),length2)) + ema(ema(ema(src2,length2),length2),length2)
zlema2(src2, length2) => ema(src2,length2) + (ema(src2,length2) - ema(ema(src2,length2),length2))

smi2 = 100 * ema(ema(close-0.5*(highest(q2)+lowest(q2)),r2),s2) / (0.5 * ema(ema(highest(q2)-lowest(q2),r2),s2))
sig2 = matype2=="ema" ? ema(smi2,nsig2) : matype2=="sma 2" ? sma(smi2,nsig2) : matype2=="wma 2" ? wma(smi2,nsig2) : matype2=="trima 2" ? trima2(smi2,nsig2) : matype2=="hma 2" ? hma2(smi2,nsig2) : matype=="dema 2" ? dema2(smi2,nsig2) : matype2=="tema 2" ? tema2(smi2,nsig2) : matype2=="zlema 2" ? zlema2(smi2,nsig2) : ema(smi2,nsig2)

p_smi2 = plot(smi2, title="SMI 2", color=aqua)
p_sig2 = plot(sig2, title="Signal2", color=red)

// plotchar(crossover(smi2, sig2), title= "low2", location=location.bottom, color=green, char="▲", size= size.tiny)
// plotchar(crossunder(smi2, sig2), title= "high2", location=location.top, color=red, char="▼", size= size.tiny)

/////////////////////////////3
q3 = input(5, title="%K Length 3")
r3 = input(3, title="%K Smoothing Length 3")
s3 = input(3, title="%K Double Smoothing Length 3")
nsig3 = input(10, title="Signal Length 3")
matype3 = input("ema", title="Signal MA Type 3")  // possible: ema, sma, wma, trima, hma, dema, tema, zlema
overbought3 = input(40, title="Overbought Level 3", type=float)
oversold3 = input(-40, title="Oversold Level 3", type=float)

trima3(src3, length3) => sma(sma(src3,length3),length3)
hma3(src3, length3) => wma(2*wma(src3, length3/2)-wma(src3, length3), round(sqrt(length3)))
dema3(src3, length3) => 2*ema(src3,length3) - ema(ema(src3,length3),length3)
tema3(src3, length3) => (3*ema(src3,length3) - 3*ema(ema(src3,length3),length3)) + ema(ema(ema(src3,length3),length3),length3)
zlema3(src3, length3) => ema(src3,length3) + (ema(src3,length3) - ema(ema(src3,length3),length3))

smi3 = 100 * ema(ema(close-0.5*(highest(q3)+lowest(q3)),r3),s3) / (0.5 * ema(ema(highest(q3)-lowest(q3),r3),s3))
sig3 = matype3=="ema" ? ema(smi3,nsig3) : matype3=="sma 3" ? sma(smi3,nsig3) : matype3=="wma 3" ? wma(smi3,nsig3) : matype3=="trima 3" ? trima3(smi3,nsig3) : matype3=="hma 3" ? hma3(smi3,nsig3) : matype=="dema 3" ? dema3(smi3,nsig3) : matype3=="tema 3" ? tema3(smi3,nsig3) : matype3=="zlema 3" ? zlema3(smi3,nsig3) : ema(smi3,nsig3)

p_smi3 = plot(smi3, title="SMI 3", color=aqua)
p_sig3 = plot(sig3, title="Signal3", color=red)

// plotchar(crossover(smi3, sig3) and crossover(smi2, sig2) and crossover(smi, sig), title= "low3", location=location.bottom, color=green, char="▲", size= size.tiny)
// plotchar(crossunder(smi3, sig3) and crossunder(smi2, sig2) and crossunder(smi, sig), title= "high3", location=location.top, color=red, char="▼", size= size.tiny)
plotchar (((smi3 < sig3) and (smi2 < sig2) and (smi < sig)), title= "low3", location=location.bottom, color=green, char="▲", size= size.tiny)
plotchar (((smi3 > sig3) and (smi2 > sig2) and (smi > sig)), title= "high3", location=location.top, color=red, char="▼", size= size.tiny)

// === BACKTEST RANGE ===
FromMonth = input(defval = 8, title = "From Month", minval = 1, maxval = 12)
FromDay   = input(defval = 1, title = "From Day", minval = 1, maxval = 31)
FromYear  = input(defval = 2018, title = "From Year", minval = 2014)
ToMonth   = input(defval = 12, title = "To Month", minval = 1, maxval = 12)
ToDay     = input(defval = 31, title = "To Day", minval = 1, maxval = 31)
ToYear    = input(defval = 2018, title = "To Year", minval = 2014)

longCondition = ((smi3 < sig3) and (smi2 < sig2) and (smi < sig))
shortCondition = ((smi3 > sig3) and (smi2 > sig2) and (smi > sig))

// buy = longCondition == 1 and longCondition[1] == 1 ? longCondition : na
buy = longCondition == 1 ? longCondition : na
sell = shortCondition == 1? shortCondition : na

// === ALERTS ===
strategy.entry("L", strategy.long, when=buy)

strategy.entry("S", strategy.short, when=sell)

alertcondition(((smi3 < sig3) and (smi2 < sig2) and (smi < sig)), title='Low Fib.', message='Low Fib. Buy')
alertcondition(((smi3 > sig3) and (smi2 > sig2) and (smi > sig)), title='High Fib.', message='High Fib. Low')

Published by ChaoZhang on the FMZ strategy square · last modified 2024-01-26. Collected in the Quant Trading Vault. Unvalidated research: re-test with your own data and costs before trusting it.

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