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Strategy vault / Mean reversion

Momentum Indicator RSI Reversal Trading Strategy

This strategy first calculates ADX and SMA on higher timeframes to identify trend direction and changes. Then RSI is calculated on lower timeframes to identify overbought and oversold conditions to generate trading…

Author
ChaoZhang
Complexity
Intermediate · 63 lines
Parameters
8
Backtest bar
1d · swing
Tested on
BTC/USDT · futures

IMG

Overview

This strategy first calculates ADX and SMA on higher timeframes to identify trend direction and changes. Then RSI is calculated on lower timeframes to identify overbought and oversold conditions to generate trading signals.

Strategy Logic

  1. ADX on higher timeframes judges the strength of the trend. Rising ADX represents strengthening trend.

  2. SMA on higher timeframes judges the direction of the trend. Rising SMA represents rising prices, falling SMA represents falling prices.

  3. RSI on lower timeframes judges overbought and oversold conditions. RSI above threshold means overbought, RSI below threshold means oversold.

  4. When ADX rises, SMA rises, and RSI overbought on lower timeframe, it's considered the uptrend is strengthening, go short here.

  5. When ADX rises, SMA falls, and RSI oversold on lower timeframe, it's considered the downtrend is strengthening, go long here.

Advantage Analysis

  1. Combines trend judgment and reversal trading, can capture reversal opportunities in major trends.

  2. Utilizes indicators across timeframes, improves reliability of signals.

  3. RSI strategy is simple to understand and implement.

Risk Analysis

  1. Potential for false RSI signals, causing losing trades. Can optimize parameters to reduce false signals.

  2. Major cycle trend judgment can be wrong, making strategy not suitable for market condition. Can consider more indicators for trend judgment.

  3. Potentially high trading frequency, impacting profitability due to transaction costs. Can adjust RSI parameters to reduce number of trades.

Optimization Directions

  1. Test more parameter combinations to find optimal match between RSI and ADX, SMA parameters.

  2. Add stop loss mechanism to control single trade loss.

  3. Consider volatility indicator to reduce position size when volatility is low.

  4. Optimize specific entry and exit prices, like entering short upon breaking previous bar's high.

Conclusion

This strategy combines trend judgment and reversal signals to find local reversals within major trends. Compared to solely using RSI, it is more reliable and avoids being trapped. Overall a relatively conservative strategy suitable for investors looking to reduce false signals. Further parameter testing and mechanism optimization can improve strategy performance.

Parameters

NameDefaultWhat it controls
v_input_1trueCustom Resolution / TF ?
v_input_2180Custom Resolution / TF
v_input_314ADX Smoothing
v_input_414DI Length
v_input_57RSI length
v_input_628RSI oversold
v_input_768RSI overbought
v_input_820SMA HTF Length

Source Pine Script

/*backtest
start: 2022-12-27 00:00:00
end: 2024-01-02 00:00:00
period: 1d
basePeriod: 1h
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

//@version=3
strategy("RSI scalping", overlay=true)

CustSession 	= input(defval=true,title= "Custom Resolution / TF ? ",type=bool)
SessionTF0	= input(title="Custom Resolution / TF", defval="180")
adxlen = input(14, title="ADX Smoothing")
dilen = input(14, title="DI Length")
length = input(7, title= "RSI length")
overSold = input( 28, title= "RSI oversold" )
overBought = input( 68, title= "RSI overbought" )

RSI = rsi(close, 7)

res		=	CustSession ? SessionTF0 : period

o = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, res, open)
c = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, res, close)
l = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, res, low)
h = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, res, high)

 // ADX higher time frame
dirmov(len) =>
	up = change(h)
	down = -change(l)
	plusDM = na(up) ? na : (up > down and up > 0 ? up : 0)
    minusDM = na(down) ? na : (down > up and down > 0 ? down : 0)
    truer = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, res, tr)
	truerange = rma(truer, len)
	plus = fixnan(100 * rma(plusDM, len) / truerange)
	minus = fixnan(100 * rma(minusDM, len) / truerange)
	[plus, minus]

adx(dilen, adxlen) =>
	[plus, minus] = dirmov(dilen)
	sum = plus + minus
	adx = 100 * rma(abs(plus - minus) / (sum == 0 ? 1 : sum), adxlen)

sig = adx(dilen, adxlen)

// SMA higher time frame
len = input(20, minval=1, title="SMA HTF Length")
smma = 0.0
smma := na(smma[1]) ? sma(c, len) : (smma[1] * (len - 1) + c) / len

ADXrising = (sig > sig[1]) and (sig[1] > sig[2]) and (sig[2]  > sig[3]) and (sig > 15)
SMAdrop= (smma < smma[1]) and (smma[1] < smma[2]) and (smma[2] < smma[3])
SMArising = (smma > smma[1]) and (smma[1] > smma[2]) and (smma[2] > smma[3])
longCondition = crossover(RSI, overBought) and ADXrising and SMArising
shortCondition = crossunder(RSI, overSold) and SMAdrop and ADXrising 

if (longCondition)
    strategy.entry("Long entry", strategy.long)

if (shortCondition)
    strategy.entry("Short Entry", strategy.short)

Published by ChaoZhang on the FMZ strategy square · last modified 2024-01-03. Collected in the Quant Trading Vault. Unvalidated research: re-test with your own data and costs before trusting it.

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