Trend Following Strategy Based on Stochastic and CCI

This strategy combines Stochastic indicator and CCI indicator to identify trend direction, and uses Rate of Change indicator to filter out range-bound trends, in order to follow the trend. The strategy adopts…

Pine ScriptTrend following Breakout RSI EMA Stochastic CCI

Author: ChaoZhang
Complexity: Intermediate · 97 lines
Parameters: 12
Backtest bar: 1d · swing
Tested on: BTC/USDT · futures

Jump to code View in vault Original on FMZ

Overview

Strategy Logic

Stochastic indicator judges bullish/bearish pattern
Golden cross of Stochastic is buy signal, while death cross is sell signal
CCI indicator determines trend direction CCI above 0 indicates bullish market, while below 0 bearish market
Rate of Change indicator filters range-bound trend
Set parameters of Rate of Change to judge whether price is in an active trend
Entry and exit rules Long entry: Stochastic golden cross & CCI > 0 & active trend Short entry: Stochastic death cross & CCI < 0 & active trend Stop loss exit: 3% stop loss for both long and short side

Pros Analysis

Combination of Stochastic and CCI improves accuracy of trend judgment
Rate of Change filters out range-bound trends, avoiding invalid trades
Both long and short trading, able to catch different trend types
Breakout entry timely catches trend opportunity
Strict stop loss prevents huge loss and controls risk

Risks Analysis

Improper parameter setting may lead to over-conservative or aggressive strategy
Limited effect of indicators, may fail in extreme market conditions
Breakout entry misses early stage of trends, giving up part of profit
Too tight or too wide stop loss fails in risk control

Optimization Directions

Parameter optimization to find optimum combination
Add more trend indicators to improve effectiveness
Use trailing stop loss or time-based stop loss to reduce chance of stop loss breach
Add risk metrics like max drawdown to fully control risk

Summary

This strategy judges trend direction by integrating Stochastic, CCI and Rate of Change indicators, and catches trend opportunity with breakout tracking. Its pros lie in accurate judgment empowered by indicator combination, filtering of range-bound market, and strict stop loss for risk control. The next step is to further improve the strategy via parameter optimization, multiple indicators, stop loss strategy to make it more robust and flexible.

Parameters

Name	Default	What it controls
v_input_1	2017	Backtest Start Year
v_input_2	true	Backtest Start Month
v_input_3	true	Backtest Start Day
v_input_4	2019	Backtest Stop Year
v_input_5	12	Backtest Stop Month
v_input_6	31	Backtest Stop Day
v_input_7	13	CCI Length
v_input_8	19	RSI Length
v_input_9	12	RSI-EMA Length
v_input_10	30	roclength
v_input_11	7	pcntChange
v_input_12	3	Stop Loss %

Source Pine Script

/*backtest
start: 2022-11-15 00:00:00
end: 2023-11-21 00:00:00
period: 1d
basePeriod: 1h
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

//@version=4
strategy("Stochastic CCI BF ?", overlay=false, initial_capital=10000, default_qty_type=strategy.percent_of_equity, default_qty_value=100, commission_type=strategy.commission.percent, commission_value=0.075)

/////////////// Time Frame ///////////////
testStartYear = input(2017, "Backtest Start Year") 
testStartMonth = input(1, "Backtest Start Month")
testStartDay = input(1, "Backtest Start Day")
testPeriodStart = timestamp(testStartYear,testStartMonth,testStartDay, 0, 0)

testStopYear = input(2019, "Backtest Stop Year")
testStopMonth = input(12, "Backtest Stop Month")
testStopDay = input(31, "Backtest Stop Day")
testPeriodStop = timestamp(testStopYear,testStopMonth,testStopDay, 0, 0)

testPeriod() => true

///////////// CCI ///////////// 
src = close
ccilength = input(13, minval=1, title="CCI Length")
c=cci(src, ccilength)

///////////// Stochastic ///////////// 
len = input(19, minval=1, title="RSI Length")
lenema = input(12, minval=1, title="RSI-EMA Length")
up = rma(max(change(src), 0), len)
down = rma(-min(change(src), 0), len)
rsi = down == 0 ? 100 : up == 0 ? 0 : 100 - (100 / (1 + up / down))
out = ema(rsi, lenema)

///////////// Rate Of Change ///////////// 
source = close
roclength = input(30, minval=1)
pcntChange = input(7.0, minval=1)
roc = 100 * (source - source[roclength]) / source[roclength]
emaroc = ema(roc, roclength / 2)
isMoving() => emaroc > (pcntChange / 2) or emaroc < (0 - (pcntChange / 2))

/////////////// Strategy ///////////////
long = out > out[1] and isMoving() and c > 0
short = out < out[1] and isMoving() and c < 0

last_long = 0.0
last_short = 0.0
last_long := long ? time : nz(last_long[1])
last_short := short ? time : nz(last_short[1])

long_signal = crossover(last_long, last_short)
short_signal = crossover(last_short, last_long)

last_open_long_signal = 0.0
last_open_short_signal = 0.0
last_open_long_signal := long_signal ? open : nz(last_open_long_signal[1])
last_open_short_signal := short_signal ? open : nz(last_open_short_signal[1])

last_long_signal = 0.0
last_short_signal = 0.0
last_long_signal := long_signal ? time : nz(last_long_signal[1])
last_short_signal := short_signal ? time : nz(last_short_signal[1])

in_long_signal = last_long_signal > last_short_signal
in_short_signal = last_short_signal > last_long_signal

last_high = 0.0
last_low = 0.0
last_high := not in_long_signal ? na : in_long_signal and (na(last_high[1]) or high > nz(last_high[1])) ? high : nz(last_high[1])
last_low := not in_short_signal ? na : in_short_signal and (na(last_low[1]) or low < nz(last_low[1])) ? low : nz(last_low[1])

sl_inp = input(3.0, title='Stop Loss %') / 100 

since_longEntry = barssince(last_open_long_signal != last_open_long_signal[1]) 
since_shortEntry = barssince(last_open_short_signal != last_open_short_signal[1]) 

slLong = in_long_signal ? strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - sl_inp) : na
slShort = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + sl_inp)
long_sl = in_long_signal ? slLong : na
short_sl = in_short_signal ? slShort : na

/////////////// Execution ///////////////
if testPeriod()
    strategy.entry("L",  strategy.long, when=long_signal)
    strategy.entry("S", strategy.short, when=short_signal)
    strategy.exit("L Ex", "L", stop=long_sl, when=since_longEntry > 0)
    strategy.exit("S Ex", "S", stop=short_sl, when=since_shortEntry > 0)

/////////////// Plotting /////////////// 
bgcolor(long_signal ? color.lime : short_signal ? color.red : na, transp=30)
bgcolor(not isMoving() ? color.white : long ? color.lime : short ? color.red : na, transp=80)
plot(out, color = out > out[1] ? color.lime:color.red, linewidth = 2, title="Stoch")
plot(c, color = c > 0 ? color.lime:color.red, linewidth = 2, title="CCI")

Published by ChaoZhang on the FMZ strategy square · last modified 2023-11-22. Collected in the Quant Trading Vault. Unvalidated research: re-test with your own data and costs before trusting it.

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