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Strategy vault / Trend following

MilleMachine

Hello traders, I hereby present to you the second stage of my journey to finding a reliable, profitable trading strategy. The "Millemachine" is based on the "Millebot", my previous published strategy. This means the…

Author
ChaoZhang
Complexity
Intermediate · 156 lines
Parameters
19

Hello traders,

I hereby present to you the second stage of my journey to finding a reliable, profitable trading strategy. The "Millemachine" is based on the "Millebot", my previous published strategy. This means the backbone of the strategy is still the same: a trend following system. Instead of using a fixed TP and SL, a trailing stoploss is now used. To limit the losses when the trend weakens, the trailing stoploss automatically gets smaller, as it is based on the ATR. A new utility is you can now easily switch between indicators on which the decision making is based. This allows the user to discover which indicators work best for entry, long/short switching and stoploss configuration.

The strategy has been proven to be very profitable in trending markets, but can suffer losses during ranging market. To make the system more robust, the strategy cannot solely rely on a trending system. Other systems must be added. I believe that a good trading bot must consist of more than 4 different strategies, based on different systems. This is what I am currently working on.

My goal for publishing this strategy is to help other traders build their own. In my journey I found it difficult to find a good strategy that employs a decent risk management, which is truly essential for having good, consistent results. Also, a realistic commission needs to be defined to have a realistic performance prediction. This weighs on the profitability and therefore is often set at 0 by authors of other strategies, which I find misleading.

If you have found this strategy informative or useful, please leave a comment.

Greetings Michael

backtest

IMG

Parameters

NameDefaultWhat it controls
v_input_10Mode: LongShort | OnlyLong | OnlyShort | Indicator Mode
v_input_2true% Risk
v_input_32ATR Multiplier
v_input_4true====== Activate Baseline - Switch L/S ======
v_input_50Baseline Type: McGinley | HMA | EHMA | THMA | SMA | EMA | DEMA | TEMA | WMA | VWMA | SMMA | RMA | LSMA | ALMA | Kijun | WWSA
v_input_6_close0BL source: close | high | low | open | hl2 | hlc3 | hlcc4 | ohlc4
v_input_750BL length
v_input_8false===== Activate Confirmation indicator =====
v_input_90C1 Entry indicator: SMA | HMA | EHMA | THMA | McGinley | EMA | DEMA | TEMA | WMA | VWMA | SMMA | RMA | LSMA | ALMA | Kijun | WWSA
v_input_10_close0Source: close | high | low | open | hl2 | hlc3 | hlcc4 | ohlc4
v_input_115Length
v_input_12true====== ENTRY indicator =======
v_input_130EI Entry indicator: HMA | McGinley | EHMA | THMA | SMA | EMA | DEMA | TEMA | WMA | VWMA | SMMA | RMA | LSMA | ALMA | Kijun | WWSA
v_input_14_close0Source: close | high | low | open | hl2 | hlc3 | hlcc4 | ohlc4
v_input_1546Length
v_input_16true===== Activate Trailing Stop =====
v_input_170TS Traling Stop Type: EMA | HMA | EHMA | THMA | SMA | McGinley | DEMA | TEMA | WMA | VWMA | SMMA | RMA | LSMA | ALMA | Kijun | WWSA
v_input_185Smoothing Trail Long EMA
v_input_192Smoothing Trail Short EMA

Source Pine Script

// © Milleman
//@version=4
//strategy("MilleMachine", overlay=true, default_qty_type = strategy.percent_of_equity, default_qty_value = 100, initial_capital=10000, commission_type=strategy.commission.percent, commission_value=0.06)


// Additional settings
Mode = input(title="Mode", defval="LongShort", options=["LongShort", "OnlyLong", "OnlyShort","Indicator Mode"])
UseTP = false                               //input(false, title="Use Take Profit?")
QuickSwitch = true                          //input(true, title="Quickswitch")
UseTC = true                                //input(true, title="Use Trendchange?")

// Risk management settings
//Spacer2 = input(false, title="======= Risk management settings =======")
Risk = input(1.0, title="% Risk",minval=0)/100
RRR = 2                                     //input(2,title="Risk Reward Ratio",step=0.1,minval=0,maxval=20)
SL_Mode = false                             // input(true, title="ON = Fixed SL / OFF = Dynamic SL (ATR)")
SL_Fix = 3                                  //input(3,title="StopLoss %",step=0.25, minval=0)/100
ATR = atr(14)                               //input(14,title="Periode ATR"))
Mul = input(2,title="ATR Multiplier",step=0.1)
xATR = ATR * Mul
SL = SL_Mode ? SL_Fix : (1 - close/(close+xATR))

// INDICATORS  //////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
Ind(type, src, len) =>
    float result = 0
    if type=="McGinley"
        result := na(result[1]) ? ema(src, len) : result[1] + (src - result[1]) / (len * pow(src/result[1], 4))
    if type=="HMA"
        result := wma(2*wma(src, len/2)-wma(src, len), round(sqrt(len)))
    if type=="EHMA"
        result := ema(2*ema(src, len/2)-ema(src, len), round(sqrt(len)))
    if type=="THMA"
        lend = len/2
        result := wma(wma(src, lend/3)*3-wma(src, lend/2)-wma(src,lend), lend)
    if type=="SMA" // Simple
        result := sma(src, len)
    if type=="EMA" // Exponential
        result := ema(src, len)
    if type=="DEMA" // Double Exponential
        e = ema(src, len)
        result := 2 * e - ema(e, len)
    if type=="TEMA" // Triple Exponential
        e = ema(src, len)
        result := 3 * (e - ema(e, len)) + ema(ema(e, len), len)
    if type=="WMA" // Weighted
        result := wma(src, len)
    if type=="VWMA" // Volume Weighted
        result := vwma(src, len) 
    if type=="SMMA" // Smoothed
        w = wma(src, len)
        result := (w[1] * (len - 1) + src) / len
    if type == "RMA"
        result := rma(src, len)
    if type=="LSMA" // Least Squares
        result := linreg(src, len, 0)
    if type=="ALMA" // Arnaud Legoux
        result := alma(src, len, 0.85, 6)
    if type=="Kijun" //Kijun-sen
        kijun = avg(lowest(len), highest(len))
        result :=kijun
    if type=="WWSA" // Welles Wilder Smoothed Moving Average
        result := nz(result[1]) + (close -nz(result[1]))/len
    result

// Baseline : Switch from Long to Short and vice versa
BL_Act = input(true, title="====== Activate Baseline - Switch L/S ======")
BL_type = input(title="Baseline Type", defval="McGinley", options=["McGinley","HMA","EHMA","THMA","SMA","EMA","DEMA","TEMA","WMA","VWMA","SMMA","RMA","LSMA","ALMA","Kijun","WWSA"])
BL_src = input(close, title="BL source")
BL_len = input(50, title="BL length", minval=1)
BL = Ind(BL_type,BL_src, BL_len)

// Confirmation indicator
C1_Act = input(false, title="===== Activate Confirmation indicator =====")
C1_type = input(title="C1 Entry indicator", defval="SMA", options=["McGinley","HMA","EHMA","THMA","SMA","EMA","DEMA","TEMA","WMA","VWMA","SMMA","RMA","LSMA","ALMA","Kijun","WWSA"])
C1_src = input(close, title="Source")
C1_len = input(5,title="Length", minval=1)
C1 = Ind(C1_type,C1_src,C1_len)

// Entry indicator : Hull Moving Average
Spacer5 = input(true, title="====== ENTRY indicator =======")
EI_type = input(title="EI Entry indicator", defval="HMA", options=["McGinley","HMA","EHMA","THMA","SMA","EMA","DEMA","TEMA","WMA","VWMA","SMMA","RMA","LSMA","ALMA","Kijun","WWSA"])
EI_src = input(close, title="Source")
EI_Len = input(46,title="Length", minval=1)
EI = Ind(EI_type,EI_src,EI_Len)

// Trail stop settings
TrailActivation = input(true, title="===== Activate Trailing Stop =====")
TS_type = input(title="TS Traling Stop Type", defval="EMA", options=["McGinley","HMA","EHMA","THMA","SMA","EMA","DEMA","TEMA","WMA","VWMA","SMMA","RMA","LSMA","ALMA","Kijun","WWSA"])
TrailSLScaling = 1 //input(100, title="SL Scaling", minval=0, step=5)/100
TrailingSourceLong = Ind(TS_type,low,input(5,"Smoothing Trail Long EMA", minval=1))
TrailingSourceShort = Ind(TS_type,high,input(2,"Smoothing Trail Short EMA", minval=1))

//VARIABLES MANAGEMENT
TriggerPrice = 0.0, TriggerPrice := TriggerPrice[1]
TriggerSL = 0.0, TriggerSL := TriggerSL[1]
SLPrice = 0.0, SLPrice := SLPrice[1], TPPrice = 0.0, TPPrice := TPPrice[1]
isLong = false, isLong := isLong[1], isShort = false, isShort := isShort[1]

//LOGIC
GoLong = crossover(EI,EI[1]) and (strategy.position_size == 0.0 and QuickSwitch) and (not BL_Act or BL/BL[1] > 1) and (not C1_Act or C1>C1[1]) and (Mode == "LongShort" or Mode == "OnlyLong")
GoShort = crossunder(EI,EI[1]) and (strategy.position_size == 0.0 and QuickSwitch) and (not BL_Act or BL/BL[1] < 1) and (not C1_Act or C1<C1[1]) and (Mode == "LongShort" or Mode == "OnlyShort")
ExitLong = isLong and crossunder(EI,EI[1]) and UseTC
ExitShort = isShort and crossover(EI,EI[1]) and UseTC

//FRAMEWORK
//Reset Long-Short memory
if isLong and strategy.position_size == 0.0
    isLong := false
if isShort and strategy.position_size == 0.0
    isShort := false
//Long
if GoLong
    isLong := true, TriggerPrice := close, TriggerSL := SL
    TPPrice := UseTP? TriggerPrice * (1 + (TriggerSL * RRR)) : na
    SLPrice := TriggerPrice * (1-TriggerSL)
    Entry_Contracts = strategy.equity * Risk / ((TriggerPrice-SLPrice)/TriggerPrice) / TriggerPrice
    strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long, comment=str.tostring(math.round((TriggerSL/TriggerPrice)*1000)), qty=Entry_Contracts)
    strategy.exit("TPSL","Long", limit=TPPrice, stop=SLPrice)
if isLong
    NewValSL = TrailingSourceLong * (1 - (SL*TrailSLScaling))
    if TrailActivation and NewValSL > SLPrice
        SLPrice := NewValSL
    strategy.exit("TPSL","Long", limit=TPPrice, stop=SLPrice)
if ExitLong
    strategy.close_all(comment="TrendChange")
    isLong := false

//Short
if GoShort
    isShort := true, TriggerPrice := close, TriggerSL := SL
    TPPrice := UseTP? TriggerPrice * (1 - (TriggerSL * RRR)) : na
    SLPrice := TriggerPrice * (1 + TriggerSL)
    Entry_Contracts = strategy.equity * Risk / ((SLPrice-TriggerPrice)/TriggerPrice) / TriggerPrice
    strategy.entry("Short", strategy.short, comment=str.tostring(math.round((TriggerSL/TriggerPrice)*1000)), qty=Entry_Contracts)
    strategy.exit("TPSL","Short", limit=TPPrice, stop=SLPrice)
if isShort
    NewValSL = TrailingSourceShort * (1 + (SL*TrailSLScaling))
    if TrailActivation and NewValSL < SLPrice
        SLPrice := NewValSL
    strategy.exit("TPSL","Short", limit=TPPrice, stop=SLPrice)
if ExitShort
    strategy.close_all(comment="TrendChange")
    isShort := false

//VISUALISATION
plot(BL_Act?BL:na, color=color.blue,title="Baseline")
plot(C1_Act?C1:na, color=color.yellow,title="confirmation Indicator")
EIColor = EI>EI[1] ? color.green : color.red
Fill_EI = plot(EI, color=EIColor, linewidth=1, transp=40, title="Entry Indicator EI")
Fill_EID = plot(EI[1], color=EIColor, linewidth=1, transp=40, title="Entry Indicator EID")


plot(strategy.position_size != 0.0 and (isLong or isShort) ? TriggerPrice : na, title="TriggerPrice", color=color.yellow, style=plot.style_linebr)
plot(strategy.position_size != 0.0 and (isLong or isShort) ? TPPrice : na, title="TakeProfit", color=color.green, style=plot.style_linebr)
plot(strategy.position_size != 0.0 and (isLong or isShort) ? SLPrice : na, title="StopLoss", color=color.red, style=plot.style_linebr)

Published by ChaoZhang on the FMZ strategy square · last modified 2022-05-08. Collected in the Quant Trading Vault. Unvalidated research: re-test with your own data and costs before trusting it.

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