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Strategy vault / Trend following

Enhanced Moving Average Convergence Trend Strategy

This trend following strategy utilizes an enhanced MACD indicator. It calculates fast EMA, slow EMA, their difference, and EMA of that difference to generate signals. The logic is: 1. Compute fast EMA period, e.g…

Author
ChaoZhang
Complexity
Intermediate · 46 lines
Parameters
9
Backtest bar
1d · swing
Tested on
BTC/USDT · futures

Strategy Logic

This trend following strategy utilizes an enhanced MACD indicator. It calculates fast EMA, slow EMA, their difference, and EMA of that difference to generate signals.

The logic is:

  1. Compute fast EMA period, e.g. 12-day

  2. Compute slow EMA period, e.g. 26-day

  3. Subtract fast from slow EMA to get MACD

  4. Take EMA of MACD as signal line, e.g. 9-day

  5. EMA of MACD minus signal gives enhanced signal

  6. Go long when enhanced signal crosses above zero line

  7. Close long when enhanced signal crosses below zero line

The strategy taps into MACD's trend following ability, and optimizes it further for quality mid- to long-term trend signals.

Advantages

  • Enhanced MACD reduces noise and improves signals

  • Fast/slow EMA combo gauges direction and strength

  • Slower parameters focus on mid- to long-term trends

Risks

  • Careful optimization of EMA periods needed

  • LONG only unable to use short opportunities

  • Less frequent signal occurrence

Summary

This strategy leverages enhanced MACD for improved mid- to long-term trend identification. But optimization and risk controls are key. Combining with other factors can improve performance.

Parameters

NameDefaultWhat it controls
v_input_12018Backtest Start Year
v_input_24Backtest Start Month
v_input_3trueBacktest Start Day
v_input_42018Backtest Stop Year
v_input_512Backtest Stop Month
v_input_631Backtest Stop Day
v_input_712fastperiod
v_input_826slowperiod
v_input_99signalperiod

Source Pine Script

/*backtest
start: 2022-09-07 00:00:00
end: 2023-09-13 00:00:00
period: 1d
basePeriod: 1h
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

//@version=3
//study("MACDAS")
// strategy("macdas",shorttitle="macdas",overlay=true,default_qty_value=10000,initial_capital=10000,currency=currency.USD)

// Date range filter
testStartYear = input(2018, "Backtest Start Year")
testStartMonth = input(4, "Backtest Start Month")
testStartDay = input(1, "Backtest Start Day")
testPeriodStart = timestamp(testStartYear, testStartMonth, testStartDay, 0, 0)

testStopYear = input(2018, "Backtest Stop Year")
testStopMonth = input(12, "Backtest Stop Month")
testStopDay = input(31, "Backtest Stop Day")
testPeriodStop = timestamp(testStopYear, testStopMonth, testStopDay, 0, 0)

inTimeRange = true


fastperiod = input(12,title="fastperiod",minval=1,maxval=500)
slowperiod = input(26,title="slowperiod",minval=1,maxval=500)
signalperiod = input(9,title="signalperiod",minval=1,maxval=500)
fastMA = ema(close, fastperiod)
slowMA = ema(close, slowperiod)
macd = fastMA - slowMA
signal = ema(macd, signalperiod)
macdAS = macd - signal
signalAS = ema(macdAS, signalperiod)
plot(macdAS, color=blue, linewidth=2)
plot(signalAS, color=red, linewidth=2)
plot(0, color=black)

strategy.entry("LONG", strategy.long, when =inTimeRange and crossover(macdAS,signalAS))
strategy.close("LONG", when= inTimeRange and crossunder(macdAS,signalAS))

plotshape(crossover(macdAS, signalAS) , style = shape.arrowup, text="Long",color=green,size=size.huge)
plotshape(crossover(signalAS,macdAS) , style = shape.arrowdown, text="End Long",color=red,size=size.huge)

Published by ChaoZhang on the FMZ strategy square · last modified 2023-09-14. Collected in the Quant Trading Vault. Unvalidated research: re-test with your own data and costs before trusting it.

Build this with AgenKit

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in Claude Code, Cursor, Codex & 4 more
/agenkit build a production-grade trading bot with a backtest engine, risk controls and paper trading by default from strategies/Enhanced-Moving-Average-Convergence-Trend-Strategy.md
  1. npx agenkit install engineering-kit in your project
  2. Paste the command into your agent and approve each phase
  3. Get tests, backtest, risk controls and a paper-trading switch

Understand it first

Before you run this, read the lesson behind the idea and how to backtest it honestly. Specs like this one are the survivors of an unknown number of trials; deflate their results accordingly.

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